Quant GT
Browse all lessons
Section 1 · Lesson 1.5

Axioms of Probability

Non-negativity, normalization, and additivity for disjoint events.

Kolmogorov's three axioms are the foundation that all of probability theory builds on. A function PP defined on subsets of a sample space Ω\Omega is a probability if and only if it satisfies:

Non-negativity: P(A)0P(A) \ge 0 for every event AA. You can't have a negative probability.

Normalization: P(Ω)=1P(\Omega) = 1. The total probability across all possible outcomes is 11.

Countable additivity: for any countable collection of pairwise disjoint events A1,A2,A_1, A_2, \dots,

P ⁣(iAi)=iP(Ai)P\!\left(\bigcup_i A_i\right) = \sum_i P(A_i)

These three axioms are minimal — but every classical result in probability follows from them. Some immediate consequences:

P(\emptyset) = 0$$P(A^c) = 1 - P(A)For any two events, P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) (inclusion–exclusion)

The last one matters because AA and BB might overlap. If they do, naively adding P(A)+P(B)P(A) + P(B) would double-count the intersection, so we subtract it back.